NEW YORK - President George Bush should heed the wise old New York Garment District maxim, `first loss, best loss.’
Translated from New Yorkese, this means that when you get into a very bad deal, bail out fast. The longer you stay in and refuse to face reality, the more you will end losing.
That, alas, is just what Bush is doing in Iraq. Better he had gone to New York’s Garment District for hard advice instead of the regal photo op in London thrown for him by Queen Elizabeth and her dysfunctional family.
In spite of the royal welcome in a nation that increasingly resembles a giant theme park for American visitors, many Britons were appalled by the visit. Over 100,000 greeted Bush and his preposterously bloated entourage, worthy of Kublai Khan, with about as much warmth as they did the Spanish Armada.
Tony Blair, Bush’s de facto Foreign Minister, salaamed and scraped with unctuous zeal. But at least the Queen summoned up enough pride to refuse White House demands that heavily armed US agents be granted full legal immunity to shoot down threatening Britons.
Back to losing. President Bush’s crusades in Afghanistan and Iraq have turned into bloody, expensive messes. These neo-colonial misadventures may soon cost US $2 billion weekly, plus the deaths and wounding of growing numbers of Americans, allies dragooned into service in Iraq, and Iraqi civilians.
The so-called political process in both nations are a farce. Their US-installed regimes are widely viewed as Quislings. In Kabul, the US at least has an amiable figurehead, Hamid Karzai. No suitable Iraqi yes-man has yet been found. But the White House, seeing its pre-election popularity dropping fast, is desperately seeking some way out of the Iraqi hornet’s nest into which it so foolishly stuck its thick head.
Bush just announced – shades of Richard Nixon – that the Iraq War would be `Iraqized.’ A façade of political power will be handed over to an Iraqi government. But US troops will stay on for years for `security.’ What happens if the `independent’ Iraqi regime tells US forces to leave? A speedy `regime change,’ no doubt. The Pentagon plans to build 3 major bases in Iraq from which to police the central Mideast and guard America’s new Imperial Oil Lifeline from Central Asia, down through Afghanistan and Pakistan, to the west.
Anyone who remembers Vietnam, which Iraq increasingly recalls, knows `Iraqization’ won’t work. Meanwhile, Iraq’s Shia majority remains quiet only because it fears Saddam Hussein may return. Ironically, if the US hunts down and murders Saddam, the Shia will rise up and demand an Islamic Republic – just what the White House seeks to avoid.
Any free vote in Iraq will produce the same result. Maybe that’s why Saddam has not yet been found. So take Bush’s calls for Arab democracy with much salt. The only truly free vote held in the Arab World – most of which is controlled by the US – brought to power in Algeria a moderate Islamic government. It was promptly overthrown by the army, with backing from the US and France.
But Bush dares not withdraw US troops from Iraq so long as the elusive Saddam stays alive. Imagine a triumphant Saddam mooning Bush from `liberated’ Baghdad. The Democrats would make falafel of the president.
Neo-conservatives insist the US can’t withdraw because of loss of face and prestige. Retreat will encourage terrorism, claim these draft-dodging sofa samurais.
Nonsense. America shrugged off retreat from Vietnam and Indochina. All good generals know when to fall back, and – unlike the neo-cons who engineered these stupid wars – always leave open a line of retreat. No one cared about Afghanistan when the Soviets killed 1.5 million of its people, nor about Iraq when it lost 500,000 soldiers fighting Iran, or 500,000 children due to the punitive US blockade. Why care now?
`We just can’t cut and run,’ said Bush in London, trying to sound Churchillian. Why not? The best way to get the US out of this quagmire is to follow France’s sage advice: bring in a UN-run government as a fig-leaf, declare victory, and pull all US troops out of Iraq and Afghanistan. Yes, chaos will ensure. But Iraq and Afghanistan are in chaos now, and terrorism, as we saw in Istanbul last Thursday, still rages..
Get out now before the US gets sucked ever deeper by `mission creep’ into a decade-long morass in Mesopotamia. There’s still time.
Yes, Saddam or his lieutenants and Arab radicals will crow, but Israel survived similar crowing when it wisely ended its disastrous colonial adventure in Lebanon.
Immediate retreat saves $100 billion plus. Iraq and Afghanistan are not worth the lives of a single more American or NATO soldier, nor more wear on overstretched US forces. Withdrawal will damp down raging anti-Americanism around the globe.
Time to end the megalomania, paranoia, and crazy Biblical geopolitics that drove the US into these profitless conflicts.
Mr President, be a true patriot by admitting you were wrong, and just get out.
PS/ It’s cheaper to buy oil, than to conquer it.
Foreign Correspondent
Foreign Correspondent
